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You are here: Home / Articles & Videos / How To Avoid The Fear, Hope and Greed Cycle of Buying Stocks

How To Avoid The Fear, Hope and Greed Cycle of Buying Stocks

~ Article by Kevin Ellman, CFP ®

How To Avoid The Fear, Hope and Greed Cycle of Buying Stocks

Illustration by Janet Atkinson

Most people are generally familiar with the basic rule of investing, which is to buy low and sell high. Yet, few follow this guideline. Why? It is too easy for well-meaning investors to fall victim to their own emotions, thereby succumbing to the fear, hope and greed cycle. Let’s examine a recent financial market scenario to illustrate this point.

In 2008 and 2009, the market was down, stocks were down and the housing market had collapsed. Two major investment houses, among others, Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns, were all but defunct. The news was bad everywhere. People generally believed that things would continue to deteriorate into a full-blown depression and that it would be crazy to consider investing in the market at that point. Few wanted to buy stocks. They were afraid that prices could go lower and of course they could. People were afraid of investing in the market without the validation of their peers and other market participants. This is the fear part of the cycle.

By mid 2013, the economy began improving. News about housing starts and manufacturing was getting a little bit better and the rate of unemployment was slowing. The stock market was beginning to rise. Most people were beginning to believe that the worst was over, at least for the foreseeable future, and that if things continued to improve, they might start to think about investing again. This is the hope part of the cycle.

As we head into 2014, the market has continued to improve, housing starts are healthier and unemployment is falling. Stocks continue to rise, people are getting excited, and newspapers and media commentators are declaring a bull market. Many are beginning to think: “Better invest now, before it’s too late. I don’t want to miss the market!” Many sold low and are now buying high! People are caught up in the greed cycle.

This behavior is the exact opposite of disciplined investing. The great investor, businessman and philanthropist, John Templeton, used to say: “Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy.” The irony is that nobody seems to want to buy stocks when they are down. Yet, most people would agree that getting any other quality goods on sale is desirable!

So, consider these tips to avoid the fear, hope and greed cycle:

• Think about investing in financial instruments the same way you would buy groceries, clothing, electronics or real estate.

• Remain alert for market drops to indicate an opportunity to buy quality stocks on sale.

• Think about buying on dips and adding to your portfolio each time the market experiences a temporary decline.

• Avoid the temptation to buy high, don’t overpay! Again, buy quality stocks on sale.

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The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation. Comments concerning the past performance are not intended to be forward looking and should not be viewed as an indication of future results.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS), an affiliate of Kestra IS. Wealth Preservation Solutions is not affiliated with Kestra IS or Kestra AS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS are not affiliated with any other entity listed herein.

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This article is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the sale of any financial product or service or as a determination that any investment strategy is suitable for a specific investor. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the suitability of any investment strategy based on their objectives, financial situations, and individual needs. This article is not designed or intended to provide financial, tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice since such advice always requires consideration of individual circumstances.

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Article written by Kevin Ellman, CFP ®

As a financial advisor for over 25 years, Kevin Ellman provides the full array of financial, estate, and retirement planning services to high net-worth business owners, families, executives, and individuals. He has appeared as a financial commentator on CNBC (Morning Call, Portfolio Make-Over, Make Your Money Work, Power Lunch), and on ABC, and has been quoted in Business Week, CBS Market Watch, Fortune Magazine and The Wall Street Journal. Learn more about Kevin Ellman...

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